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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Sinosteel Tianyuan: The production and sales of battery-grade manganous oxide increased by 140% in the first 10 months. According to Sinosteel Tianyuan, with the 20,000-ton battery-grade manganous oxide production line officially put into use, the production and sales of battery-grade manganous oxide of Sinosteel Tianyuan increased by 140% from January to October. This also indicates that Sinosteel Tianyuan has made a key breakthrough in the field of new energy battery materials, greatly enhancing the industry's influence and competitiveness.Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the central bank's monetary policy committee is intentional. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the statement is intentional. The Committee noted that the data had weakened. Have more confidence in inflation. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with expectations. No need for two or more quarterly inflation data to change. Will pay attention to all data including employment.

Datong, Shanxi: Parents' and children's provident funds can be withdrawn to buy houses. On December 9, the Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Datong City, Shanxi Province issued the Notice on Adjusting the Policy of Withdrawing and Lending Some Housing Provident Funds. According to the document, the minimum down payment ratio for the first set of housing and the second set of housing is 20% for paid employees who use provident fund loans to purchase self-occupied commercial housing, and 15% for affordable housing. At the same time, the interest rate of individual housing provident fund loans will be lowered by 0.25 percentage points. From May 18, 2024, the interest rates of the first set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.35% and 2.85% respectively, and the interest rates of the second set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.775% and 3.325% respectively. Datong will also appropriately increase the amount of provident fund loans. For high-level talents, families with two or more children and families with active military personnel, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will rise by 20% on the basis of the current policy. Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase, and when employees purchase housing, they can also apply for the withdrawal of housing provident fund for parents or children.Morgan Stanley published a research report, predicting that Chow Tai Fook's share price will outperform the market index in the same period in the next 30 days with a 70% to 80% chance, pointing out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party revealed a strong stimulus policy tone yesterday, indicating that it is necessary to expand domestic demand, and called for supporting measures for housing and stock market stability, hoping for stable asset prices, which will have a positive impact on gold and jewelry consumption. The bank also pointed out that December of each year to February of the following year is usually the traditional peak season for jewelry sales, and Chow Tai Fook's share price has fallen by about 40% this year, which is inferior to the performance of MSCI China Index and Hang Seng Index in the same period. It is expected that the strength and implementation details of the central government's stimulus measures, the pace of inflation and the stability of gold prices in the future will affect whether the company's valuation can be revalued in the market and maintain its "in sync with the market" rating, with a target price of HK$ 8.3.The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.

Altman, CEO of OpenAI: The demand for the AI video production model Sora is seriously underestimated. Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, posted on the social media platform X that it will take some time for everyone to use the artificial intelligence (AI) video production model Sora.OpenAI has made a big profit, and institutions have increased their positions in four high-growth potential stocks. According to data treasure, on December 10th, OpenAI officially opened the artificial intelligence video generation model Sora to users, and it has been 10 months since the first public preview of the product. At the same time, the company announced the launch of a new version of Sora, Sora Turbo, saying that it is significantly faster than the version previewed in February. In early trading today, AIGC concept stocks broke out, and Shensi Electronics and Worth Buying all recorded a 20cm daily limit. According to data treasure statistics, as of December 9, there were nearly 200 concept stocks involving AIGC, and the total market value of A shares was close to 3 trillion yuan. Since the beginning of this year, the cumulative increase of 12 concept stocks has doubled, including Doushen Education, PricewaterhouseCoopers, An Shuo Information, Fushi Holdings and Bestak. The cumulative increase of Doushen Education was 279.64%, ranking first. At the same time, according to the unanimous prediction of more than five institutions, there are 11 AIGC concept stocks whose net profit growth rate is expected to exceed 20% from 2024 to 2026.Datong, Shanxi: Parents' and children's provident funds can be withdrawn to buy houses. On December 9, the Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Datong City, Shanxi Province issued the Notice on Adjusting the Policy of Withdrawing and Lending Some Housing Provident Funds. According to the document, the minimum down payment ratio for the first set of housing and the second set of housing is 20% for paid employees who use provident fund loans to purchase self-occupied commercial housing, and 15% for affordable housing. At the same time, the interest rate of individual housing provident fund loans will be lowered by 0.25 percentage points. From May 18, 2024, the interest rates of the first set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.35% and 2.85% respectively, and the interest rates of the second set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.775% and 3.325% respectively. Datong will also appropriately increase the amount of provident fund loans. For high-level talents, families with two or more children and families with active military personnel, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will rise by 20% on the basis of the current policy. Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase, and when employees purchase housing, they can also apply for the withdrawal of housing provident fund for parents or children.